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The best analysis of the Palin pregnancy comes from Megan over at The Atlantic.
If only certain other Atlantic writers could contain their effusive enthusiasm for Obama long enough to stifle the vapors and provide such an insightful analysis.
Posted by Jamie in Audacity of Hype, Excruciatingly Correct Behavior
I do like McArdle’s post.
One thing that didn’t get mentioned often enough when idiots were speculating who Trig’s mom was – and this is probably because those people were scurrilous fools with little interest in reality – is the improbability of a 16 year-old giving birth to a child with Down Syndrome. That chart shows that the probability for a 30 year-old is less than 1 in 1000; it’s my understanding that as age decreases from there, so does that probability. However, as age increases, so does the probability, such that by age 44, Sarah Palin’s age, 1 out of 35 live births have Down Syndrome.
So given a child with Down Syndrome, and two possible mothers, one age 44 and one aged 16, it takes a unique mindset to come up with a conspiracy theory that the 44 year-old faked a pregnancy for the 16 year-old. It takes nothing less than uninterested ignorance to latch on to that conspiracy theory.