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	<title>Comments on: On Controversy</title>
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	<description>Constitution Fanboys</description>
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		<title>By: Apollo</title>
		<link>http://federalistpaupers.com/index.php/2008/09/02/on-controversy/comment-page-1/#comment-143320</link>
		<dc:creator>Apollo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Sep 2008 23:19:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I do like McArdle&#039;s post.

One thing that didn&#039;t get mentioned often enough when idiots were speculating who Trig&#039;s mom was - and this is probably because those people were scurrilous fools with little interest in reality - is &lt;a rel=&quot;nofollow&quot; href=&quot;http://www.nichd.nih.gov/publications/pubs/downsyndrome.cfm&quot;&gt;the improbability of a 16 year-old giving birth to a child with Down Syndrome&lt;/a&gt;. That chart shows that the probability for a 30 year-old is less than 1 in 1000; it&#039;s my understanding that as age decreases from there, so does that probability. However, as age increases, so does the probability, such that by age 44, Sarah Palin&#039;s age, 1 out of 35 live births have Down Syndrome.

So given a child with Down Syndrome, and two possible mothers, one age 44 and one aged 16, it takes a unique mindset to come up with a conspiracy theory that the 44 year-old faked a pregnancy for the 16 year-old. It takes nothing less than uninterested ignorance to latch on to that conspiracy theory.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I do like McArdle&#8217;s post.</p>
<p>One thing that didn&#8217;t get mentioned often enough when idiots were speculating who Trig&#8217;s mom was &#8211; and this is probably because those people were scurrilous fools with little interest in reality &#8211; is <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.nichd.nih.gov/publications/pubs/downsyndrome.cfm">the improbability of a 16 year-old giving birth to a child with Down Syndrome</a>. That chart shows that the probability for a 30 year-old is less than 1 in 1000; it&#8217;s my understanding that as age decreases from there, so does that probability. However, as age increases, so does the probability, such that by age 44, Sarah Palin&#8217;s age, 1 out of 35 live births have Down Syndrome.</p>
<p>So given a child with Down Syndrome, and two possible mothers, one age 44 and one aged 16, it takes a unique mindset to come up with a conspiracy theory that the 44 year-old faked a pregnancy for the 16 year-old. It takes nothing less than uninterested ignorance to latch on to that conspiracy theory.</p>
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